Why Everything We Know About the Coronavirus Outbreak May Be Wrong…

The key to making money in the markets is to know the difference between what the market thinks is happening…

And what the data actually says (or in today’s case what it clearly is missing…).

I call this a “Reality Gap,” and it’s what lets us know the most probable direction for the market or a segment, and how to set up our trades.

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In the past few weeks, I’ve said on national TV and in my articles here that the markets have been responding favorably and moderately to the coronavirus confirmed case and mortality data coming out of China. And big trading houses like JP Morgan send out notes to their investors with this same sentiment (two days after mine – ahem…).

But a key to identifying Reality Gaps and acting boldly on them is seeing beyond what’s being covered in the News Media, and processing new data as it comes in. That has allowed me to see rebounds coming after initial processing of the coronavirus data – and give subscribers to my premium services six 100% gains in the last two weeks.

And when the real data changes and the meaning behind it changes course, we have to be flexible and update our Reality Gaps


What You’re Being Told About Bitcoin is Wrong…

On Monday, during my weekly sit down with America’s most-watched business TV host, Stuart Varney, the topic of a flight to safety came up. A flight to safety is when investors sell what they perceive to be higher risks investments for safer ones.

But Stuart didn’t want to know about your traditional, run-of-the-mill flight to safety in assets like gold or U.S. treasuries. Instead, he asked about one of the newer assets available to investors these days…

Bitcoin.

Stuart mentioned that Bitcoin had recently reached its highest level since October, and asked me if the cryptocurrency’s big move up since early December was due to a flight to safety over coronavirus concerns.

Take a look…

Stuart is likely correct that the coronavirus scare has led many to seek a safe haven that can still deliver profits in the event of a market downturn.

But there’s a major Reality Gap that has formed between what investors believe Bitcoin will do in a market downturn or recession and how the cryptocurrency will actually perform.


Here’s what I mean…


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